Shumbratvs
Zenit Penza
SCHEDULEDRussia · Second League - Group 3 · 8/29/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shumbrat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Shumbrat are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Zenit Penza are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Shumbrat hold a 30.7-point power-rating edge (62.2 v 31.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.0% in the Second League - Group 3, while Shumbrat holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Shumbrat
Probability
82.6%
Model confidence
12.0%
Shumbrat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40