GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 3 · 3/29/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shumbrat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Shumbrat are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Avangard Kursk are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Shumbrat hold an 11.2-point power-rating edge (62.2 v 51.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.6% in the Second League - Group 3, while Shumbrat holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shumbrat

Probability

51.6%

Model confidence

51.6%

Shumbrat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ShumbratL

GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/3.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Avangard KurskLDWDW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
ShumbratAvangard Kursk
64.9Attack42.1
56.1Defence59.6
63.2Form47.4
62.2Power51.0
1.75xG0.98
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