Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Telavi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Shukura are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LWL), averaging 1.33 scored and 1.67 conceded, while Telavi are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LDL), averaging 0.00 scored and 0.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Telavi hold a 20.4-point power-rating edge (19.7 v 40.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.0% in the Erovnuli Liga, while Telavi holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Telavi
Probability
43.0%
Model confidence
43.0%
Telavi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 1.33/1.67
GF 0 · GA 2 · avg 0.00/0.67