Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Samgurali · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Shukura are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Samgurali are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Samgurali hold a 28.1-point power-rating edge (19.7 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.9% in the Erovnuli Liga, while Samgurali holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Samgurali
Probability
55.9%
Model confidence
55.9%
Samgurali has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80