GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 9/2/2025, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shrewsbury · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Shrewsbury are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Walsall are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Shrewsbury hold a 10.9-point power-rating edge (43.8 v 32.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.4% in the EFL Trophy, while Shrewsbury holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shrewsbury

Probability

44.4%

Model confidence

44.4%

Shrewsbury has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ShrewsburyDWLLL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
WalsallWWLWD

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
ShrewsburyWalsall
33.3Attack55.6
44.4Defence22.2
44.4Form11.1
43.8Power32.9
1.97xG1.55
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