Shrewsburyvs
Walsall
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 11/14/2023, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shrewsbury · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Shrewsbury are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Walsall are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Shrewsbury hold a 10.9-point power-rating edge (43.8 v 32.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.4% in the EFL Trophy, while Shrewsbury holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Shrewsbury
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
44.4%
Shrewsbury has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60