GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 8/20/2024, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shrewsbury · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Shrewsbury are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Fulham U21 are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDD), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Fulham U21 hold a 6.4-point power-rating edge (43.8 v 50.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.6% in the EFL Trophy, while Shrewsbury holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shrewsbury

Probability

36.6%

Model confidence

36.6%

Shrewsbury has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ShrewsburyLDLLD

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Fulham U21LWDDD

GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
ShrewsburyFulham U21
33.3Attack66.7
44.4Defence33.3
44.4Form41.7
43.8Power50.3
1.80xG1.79
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