Shrewsburyvs
Chelsea U21
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 8/26/2025, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shrewsbury · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Shrewsbury are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Chelsea U21 are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Shrewsbury hold a 25.1-point power-rating edge (43.8 v 18.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.2% in the EFL Trophy, while Shrewsbury holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Shrewsbury
Probability
52.2%
Model confidence
52.2%
Shrewsbury has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 15 · avg 0.60/3.00
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20