Shrewsburyvs
Brighton U21
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 9/19/2023, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brighton U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Shrewsbury are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Brighton U21 are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Brighton U21 hold a 9.8-point power-rating edge (43.8 v 53.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.3% in the EFL Trophy, while Brighton U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Brighton U21
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Brighton U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.20/1.60
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 3.00/2.00