Shrewsburyvs
Birmingham
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 10/8/2024, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Birmingham · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Shrewsbury are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Birmingham are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Birmingham hold a 30.8-point power-rating edge (43.8 v 74.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.9% in the EFL Trophy, while Birmingham holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Birmingham
Probability
65.9%
Model confidence
65.9%
Birmingham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80