Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shortan · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Shortan are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Yaypan are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WWL), averaging 1.67 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Shortan hold a 25.6-point power-rating edge (65.9 v 40.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.1% in the Pro League A, while Shortan holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Shortan
Probability
70.5%
Model confidence
15.1%
Shortan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.67/1.00