GGOALVIO

Uzbekistan · Pro League A · 4/5/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Shortan are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Olimpik-Mobiuz are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Shortan hold a 6.1-point power-rating edge (66.9 v 60.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.1% in the Pro League A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

36.1%

Model confidence

36.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ShortanDDLWL

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Olimpik-MobiuzWDWWL

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ShortanOlimpik-Mobiuz
51.1Attack62.2
68.9Defence66.7
73.3Form55.6
66.9Power60.9
1.12xG1.03
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