Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Metalourg · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Shortan are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Metalourg are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Shortan hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (66.9 v 63.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.8% in the Pro League A, while Metalourg holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Metalourg
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Metalourg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80