Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shortan · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Shortan are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Lochin are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Shortan hold a 6.9-point power-rating edge (65.9 v 58.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.5% in the Pro League A, while Shortan holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Shortan
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
14.5%
Shortan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00