Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shortan · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Shortan are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while FarDu are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Shortan hold a 12.1-point power-rating edge (66.9 v 54.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.4% in the Pro League A, while Shortan holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Shortan
Probability
50.4%
Model confidence
50.4%
Shortan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40