Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shortan · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Shortan are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Dostlik are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Shortan hold a 33.3-point power-rating edge (66.9 v 33.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.6% in the Pro League A, while Shortan holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Shortan
Probability
72.6%
Model confidence
72.6%
Shortan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 0.50/1.00
GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.50/1.50