Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aral · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Shortan are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (LWLD), averaging 0.75 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Aral are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (WLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Aral hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (66.9 v 80.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.9% in the Pro League A, while Aral holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Aral
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
42.9%
Aral has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.75/1.00
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/1.00