Shooting Starsvs
Ranchers Bees
COMPLETEDNigeria · NPFL · 10/16/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shooting Stars · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Shooting Stars 0-0 Ranchers Bees, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Shooting Stars 3-1 Ranchers Bees
Original prediction
Shooting Stars
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 00:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.46 | 60.8% | 39.8% | -21.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.2% | 30.6% | 4.4 pts |
| Away | 6.84 | 13.0% | 29.7% | 16.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.46 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-21.1 pts
Projected Score
Shooting Stars 0–0 Ranchers Bees
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Shooting Stars
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Shooting Stars has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80