Shooting Starsvs
Nasarawa United
COMPLETEDNigeria · NPFL · 10/4/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shooting Stars · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Shooting Stars 0-0 Nasarawa United
Original prediction
Shooting Stars
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.57 | 58.0% | 42.6% | -15.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 25.8% | 28.0% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 5.64 | 16.2% | 29.4% | 13.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.54 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Shooting Stars
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
Shooting Stars has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00