Shooting Starsvs
Katsina United
COMPLETEDNigeria · NPFL · 9/23/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shooting Stars · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Shooting Stars 2-0 Katsina United
Original prediction
Shooting Stars
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.40 | 64.6% | 46.2% | -18.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.84 | 23.5% | 27.8% | 4.3 pts |
| Away | 7.60 | 11.9% | 26.0% | 14.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.40 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-18.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Shooting Stars
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
46.2%
Shooting Stars has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60