GGOALVIO

Japan · J-League Cup · 3/8/2023, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Shonan Bellmare are 1W-2D-0L in their last 3 (DDW), averaging 2.67 scored and 1.33 conceded, while Urawa are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (WLL), averaging 0.67 scored and 1.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Urawa hold a 10.0-point power-rating edge (47.0 v 57.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.4% in the J-League Cup, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.4%

Model confidence

39.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shonan BellmareDDW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 2.67/1.33

BTTS 3/3O2.5 2/3
UrawaWLL

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.67/1.67

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
Shonan BellmareUrawa
44.4Attack36.4
61.1Defence78.8
33.3Form51.5
47.0Power57.1
0.78xG0.89
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