Shonan Bellmarevs
Tochigi City
COMPLETEDJapan · J2 League · 10/25/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shonan Bellmare · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Shonan Bellmare 2-1 Tochigi City
Original prediction
Shonan Bellmare
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.14 | 42.7% | 40.7% | -2.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.6% | 29.4% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 2.98 | 30.7% | 29.8% | -0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.14 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–014%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Shonan Bellmare
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Shonan Bellmare has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80