Shonan Bellmarevs
Iwaki
COMPLETEDJapan · J2 League · 10/21/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shonan Bellmare · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Shonan Bellmare 1-1 Iwaki
Original prediction
Shonan Bellmare
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.22 | 41.2% | 44.7% | 3.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 28.2% | 27.3% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 3.00 | 30.6% | 28.0% | -2.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.25 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–014%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Shonan Bellmare
Probability
44.7%
Model confidence
44.7%
Shonan Bellmare has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60