Shonan Bellmarevs
Albirex Niigata
COMPLETEDJapan · J2 League · 10/11/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shonan Bellmare · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Shonan Bellmare 0-0 Albirex Niigata, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Shonan Bellmare 1-1 Albirex Niigata
Original prediction
Shonan Bellmare
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.21 | 41.4% | 38.8% | -2.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 29.3% | 30.9% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 3.13 | 29.3% | 30.3% | 1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.12 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.6 pts
Projected Score
Shonan Bellmare 0–0 Albirex Niigata
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Shonan Bellmare
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Shonan Bellmare has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00