Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sholing · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Sholing are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Yate Town are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sholing hold an 18.5-point power-rating edge (83.3 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.3% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Sholing holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sholing
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Sholing has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40