Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sholing · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Sholing are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Yate Town are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sholing hold an 18.5-point power-rating edge (83.3 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.3% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Sholing holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sholing
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Sholing has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00