Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sholing · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Sholing are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Weymouth are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sholing hold a 41.6-point power-rating edge (83.3 v 41.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.9% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Sholing holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sholing
Probability
56.9%
Model confidence
56.9%
Sholing has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40
GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00