GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 1/4/2025, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sholing · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Sholing are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Swindon Supermarine are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Sholing hold a 40.5-point power-rating edge (83.3 v 42.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.7% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Sholing holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sholing

Probability

59.7%

Model confidence

59.7%

Sholing has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SholingLWLLW

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Swindon SupermarineLDLLL

GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
SholingSwindon Supermarine
33.3Attack57.9
100.0Defence27.0
100.0Form38.9
83.3Power42.8
2.53xG1.31
View match centre →