Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Salisbury · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Sholing are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Salisbury are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Sholing hold a 20.8-point power-rating edge (83.3 v 62.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.2% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Salisbury holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Salisbury
Probability
36.2%
Model confidence
36.2%
Salisbury has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60