GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 4/18/2025, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sholing are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Merthyr Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sholing hold a 26.1-point power-rating edge (83.3 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.6% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Merthyr Town

Probability

35.6%

Model confidence

35.6%

Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SholingLWLLD

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Merthyr TownLLDWW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
SholingMerthyr Town
33.3Attack67.5
100.0Defence53.2
100.0Form53.2
83.3Power57.2
1.57xG1.58
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