Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sholing · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Sholing are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Marlow are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Sholing hold a 59.6-point power-rating edge (83.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 77.4% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Sholing holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sholing
Probability
77.4%
Model confidence
77.4%
Sholing has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20