Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sholing · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Sholing are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Hendon are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sholing hold a 31.5-point power-rating edge (83.3 v 51.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.0% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Sholing holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sholing
Probability
45.0%
Model confidence
45.0%
Sholing has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60