GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 8/28/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sholing · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sholing are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Gosport Borough are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sholing hold a 56.7-point power-rating edge (83.3 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.0% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Sholing holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sholing

Probability

49.0%

Model confidence

49.0%

Sholing has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SholingLWWWL

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Gosport BoroughDWWWW

GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
SholingGosport Borough
33.3Attack0.0
100.0Defence66.7
100.0Form0.0
83.3Power26.7
1.67xG1.02
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