GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 2/17/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chesham United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sholing are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Chesham United are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Sholing hold a 16.1-point power-rating edge (83.3 v 67.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.4% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chesham United holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chesham United

Probability

43.4%

Model confidence

43.4%

Chesham United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SholingLDLWW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Chesham UnitedWWWWW

GF 13 · GA 1 · avg 2.60/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
SholingChesham United
33.3Attack65.9
100.0Defence63.5
100.0Form71.4
83.3Power67.2
1.18xG1.59
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