GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 9/29/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sholing · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Sholing 2-0 Berkhamsted

Original prediction

Sholing

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.2240.8%37.2%-3.6 pts
Draw3.3527.1%27.6%0.5 pts
Away2.8332.1%35.2%3.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.22 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-3.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–012%
  3. 3.0–111%

Predicted outcome

Sholing

Probability

37.2%

Model confidence

37.2%

Sholing has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SholingDWLWW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
BerkhamstedWLWWD

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SholingBerkhamsted
33.3Attack40.7
52.4Defence55.6
47.6Form48.1
47.7Power50.4
1.13xG1.13
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