GGOALVIO

Macedonia · First League · 8/20/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shkupi 1927 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Shkupi 1927 are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Sileks are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sileks hold a 14.3-point power-rating edge (62.2 v 76.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the First League, while Shkupi 1927 holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shkupi 1927

Probability

39.9%

Model confidence

39.9%

Shkupi 1927 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shkupi 1927WLLLD

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
SileksWLDWL

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Shkupi 1927Sileks
42.4Attack100.0
76.8Defence83.3
62.6Form66.7
62.2Power76.5
1.13xG0.78
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