GGOALVIO

Macedonia · First League · 10/17/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Struga · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Shkëndija Haraçinë 0-1 Struga, with an exact score probability of 19%.

Prediction record

Final result

Shkëndija Haraçinë 0-2 Struga

Original prediction

Struga

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.8423.3%14.8%-8.4 pts
Draw3.1828.1%24.5%-3.6 pts
Away1.8448.6%60.6%12.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.84 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

12.1 pts

Projected Score

Shkëndija Haraçinë 0–1 Struga

Exact score probability: 19%

Predicted outcome

Struga

Probability

60.6%

Model confidence

60.6%

Struga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shkëndija HaraçinëDLWWW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
StrugaLWDWW

GF 20 · GA 5 · avg 4.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Shkëndija HaraçinëStruga
25.9Attack74.1
63.0Defence74.1
51.9Form63.0
50.0Power67.7
0.48xG1.55
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