Shkëndija Haraçinëvs
Skopje
COMPLETEDMacedonia · First League · 9/14/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shkëndija Haraçinë · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Shkëndija Haraçinë 1-0 Skopje, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Shkëndija Haraçinë 1-0 Skopje
Original prediction
Shkëndija Haraçinë
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.60 | 56.2% | 50.0% | -6.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 26.1% | 27.7% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 5.09 | 17.7% | 22.3% | 4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.60 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.3 pts
Projected Score
Shkëndija Haraçinë 1–0 Skopje
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Shkëndija Haraçinë
Probability
50.0%
Model confidence
50.0%
Shkëndija Haraçinë has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20