Shkendijavs
Ludogorets
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 8/21/2025, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ludogorets · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Shkendija are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Ludogorets are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Ludogorets hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (42.7 v 51.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.7% in the UEFA Europa League, while Ludogorets holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ludogorets
Probability
37.7%
Model confidence
37.7%
Ludogorets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80