GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 8/21/2025, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ludogorets · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Shkendija are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Ludogorets are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Ludogorets hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (42.7 v 51.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.7% in the UEFA Europa League, while Ludogorets holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ludogorets

Probability

37.7%

Model confidence

37.7%

Ludogorets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ShkendijaWLWLW

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
LudogoretsDLWDW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
ShkendijaLudogorets
50.0Attack66.7
16.7Defence41.7
50.0Form50.0
42.7Power51.9
1.63xG1.72
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