GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 6/23/2026, 4:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shkendija · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Shkendija are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while HNK Hajduk Split are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Shkendija hold a 5.1-point power-rating edge (74.2 v 69.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Shkendija holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shkendija

Probability

37.5%

Model confidence

37.5%

Shkendija has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ShkendijaWLWWD

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
HNK Hajduk SplitWDLWD

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
ShkendijaHNK Hajduk Split
66.7Attack63.3
83.3Defence70.0
76.7Form70.0
74.2Power69.1
1.34xG1.03
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