Shkendijavs
Bregalnica Štip
COMPLETEDMacedonia · First League · 8/23/2023, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shkendija · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Shkendija are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Bregalnica Štip are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Shkendija hold a 37.5-point power-rating edge (94.8 v 57.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.4% in the First League, while Shkendija holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Shkendija
Probability
48.4%
Model confidence
48.4%
Shkendija has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00