Shirakvs
Sardarapat
COMPLETEDArmenia · Premier League · 9/6/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sardarapat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Shirak 2-0 Sardarapat
Original prediction
Sardarapat
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.28 | 39.7% | 35.0% | -4.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.18 | 28.4% | 27.0% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.83 | 31.9% | 38.0% | 6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Sardarapat
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
Sardarapat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00