Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shirak · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Shirak are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while BKMA are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Shirak hold a 25.0-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 26.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.8% in the Premier League, while Shirak holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Shirak
Probability
46.8%
Model confidence
46.8%
Shirak has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/1.00