Shirakvs
Ararat-Armenia
COMPLETEDArmenia · Premier League · 9/20/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ararat-Armenia · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Shirak 1-3 Ararat-Armenia
Original prediction
Ararat-Armenia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.99 | 15.0% | 27.5% | 12.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.01 | 22.4% | 25.3% | 2.9 pts |
| Away | 1.44 | 62.6% | 47.2% | -15.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.44 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Ararat-Armenia
Probability
47.2%
Model confidence
47.2%
Ararat-Armenia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20