Shinnik Yaroslavlvs
Torpedo Moskva
COMPLETEDRussia · Cup · 9/10/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Torpedo Moskva · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Shinnik Yaroslavl 2-0 Torpedo Moskva
Original prediction
Torpedo Moskva
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.24 | 28.3% | 35.6% | 7.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.06 | 29.9% | 28.6% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.20 | 41.7% | 35.8% | -5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Torpedo Moskva
Probability
35.8%
Model confidence
35.8%
Torpedo Moskva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60