Shimshon Tel Avivvs
Kfar Saba 1928
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 10/9/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shimshon Tel Aviv · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Shimshon Tel Aviv 3-0 Kfar Saba 1928
Original prediction
Shimshon Tel Aviv
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 06:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.00 | 44.6% | 39.1% | -5.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 27.9% | 28.4% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.24 | 27.5% | 32.5% | 5.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Shimshon Tel Aviv
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Shimshon Tel Aviv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40