Shimshon Tel Avivvs
Holon Yermiyahu
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 9/17/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shimshon Tel Aviv · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Shimshon Tel Aviv 0-0 Holon Yermiyahu, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Shimshon Tel Aviv 3-1 Holon Yermiyahu
Original prediction
Shimshon Tel Aviv
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.90 | 46.8% | 41.8% | -5.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.18 | 27.9% | 31.9% | 4.0 pts |
| Away | 3.52 | 25.2% | 26.3% | 1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.90 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.0 pts
Projected Score
Shimshon Tel Aviv 0–0 Holon Yermiyahu
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Shimshon Tel Aviv
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
Shimshon Tel Aviv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 0.60/0.20