Shimshon Tel Avivvs
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 9/30/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shimshon Tel Aviv · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Shimshon Tel Aviv 1-2 Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
Original prediction
Shimshon Tel Aviv
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.18 | 41.1% | 42.3% | 1.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 27.8% | 29.1% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.89 | 31.1% | 28.6% | -2.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.1–114%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Shimshon Tel Aviv
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Shimshon Tel Aviv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00