GGOALVIO

Japan · J-League Cup · 3/8/2023, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kawasaki Frontale · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Shimizu S-pulse are 0W-3D-0L in their last 3 (DDD), averaging 0.33 scored and 0.33 conceded, while Kawasaki Frontale are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (DWL), averaging 1.33 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Kawasaki Frontale hold a 16.9-point power-rating edge (38.0 v 54.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.6% in the J-League Cup, while Kawasaki Frontale holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kawasaki Frontale

Probability

51.6%

Model confidence

51.6%

Kawasaki Frontale has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shimizu S-pulseDDD

GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 0.33/0.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 0/3
Kawasaki FrontaleDWL

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 1.33/1.33

BTTS 3/3O2.5 2/3
Shimizu S-pulseKawasaki Frontale
44.4Attack66.7
16.7Defence61.1
44.4Form44.4
38.0Power54.9
1.24xG2.33
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