GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 4/26/2023, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SHANGHAI SIPG · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Shijiazhuang Y. J. are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded, while SHANGHAI SIPG are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 2.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and SHANGHAI SIPG hold a 16.0-point power-rating edge (36.3 v 52.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.0% in the Super League, while SHANGHAI SIPG holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SHANGHAI SIPG

Probability

60.0%

Model confidence

60.0%

SHANGHAI SIPG has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shijiazhuang Y. J.LD

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 1/2
SHANGHAI SIPGWW

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 2.50/1.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Shijiazhuang Y. J.SHANGHAI SIPG
32.2Attack54.5
33.3Defence53.0
34.4Form45.5
36.3Power52.3
0.94xG2.09
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